Follow up on the NexCen Pretzel Acquisition

Article by Ryan Knoll

Ryan is an attorney and valuation specialist residing in Chicago. He chronicles his thoughts and research on FranchisePundit.com. You may reach him by email ryanknoll@gmail.com or mobile telephone 312-212-3423. Read 401 articles by Ryan Knoll

From a NexCen Press Release:

The combined purchase price for the transaction is $29.4 million, and consists of $22.1 million of cash, and NexCen common stock valued at approximately $7.3 million. These transactions double the number of brands in NexCen’s quick service restaurant (QSR) portfolio, which also includes the premium, hand-mixed ice cream chains MaggieMoo’s(R) and Marble Slab Creamery(R).As of June 30, 2007, Pretzel Time and Pretzelmaker had a combined 376 franchised or licensed units worldwide. Of those, 327 are in the United States, with the remaining 49 international locations located in six countries.

For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2007, aggregate unaudited revenues for the Pretzel Time and Pretzelmaker brands were approximately $6.4 million. NexCen estimates that aggregate revenues for the two businesses for the full year 2007 will be approximately $6.7 million. Based upon the partial year of ownership, NexCen expects to recognize approximately $2.7 million of revenue from the businesses for the remainder of 2007. NexCen expects these transactions to be accretive in 2007 and, after integration into NexCen’s operations, to generate combined operating margins of approximately 60%, consistent with NexCen’s expectations for its QSR franchising operations.

First, paying 5x revenue is absurdly high for an established traditional business with low barriers to entry and similar competitors. Most companies would pay 5 times EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), and I imagine an organization like Pretzel Time and Pretzelmaker have expenses and obligations or close to the revenue figure. The stock market noticed the same overpriced acquisition along with other trouble at NexCen as the stock price dropped by almost 50% in the past few months:

NexCen

Not good. NexCen also owns brands The Athlete’s Foot, Bill Blass, MaggieMoo’s, and Marble Slab.

Similar Posts:

One Comments Post a Comment
  1. [...] Back in August 2007, I gave a NexCen Brands an “I wouldn’t buy it” rating after they grossly overpaid for the Pretzel Time and Pretzelmaker acquisition by paying 5x revenue.  At the time the stock price was around $7…fast forward 2 years and yesterday it closed at 36 cents and has been as low 5 cents in 2009.Your welcome. Similar Posts: Follow up on the NexCen Pretzel Acquisition [...]

Leave a Reply




RSS Discussion Forum

  • Re: margins March 7, 2010
    You seem to be assuming there are profit margins.   Why is that?   Please be aware that you need to go back in time and recalculate old numbers for current lease obligations.   FuwaFuwaUsagi […]
  • Re: Searching for insights good/bad on Blimpies? March 4, 2010
    Is this the same Paul W. Steinberg who failed to pay the taxes on his franchise operations to the extent of over $33,000 with the result that NY State had to go to the expenses of issuing a series of Tax Warrants against him.  Go to:  http://appsext8.d... […]
  • margins February 28, 2010
    I am looking at a few fast food franchises and wondering what type of profit margins I should be calculating.  Guidelines? […]
  • Re: ARE CICIS PIZZA PROFITABLE February 17, 2010
    Quote from: FuwaFuwaUsagi on February 16, 2010, 05:03:15 PMThe Pundit writes:I was browsing through old posts and came across this one.  It's a great one for all to read.My reply:Thanks for the kind words Ryan, but did you up... […]
  • Re: ARE CICIS PIZZA PROFITABLE February 16, 2010
    The Pundit writes:I was browsing through old posts and came across this one.  It's a great one for all to read.My reply:Thanks for the kind words Ryan, but did you up my karma points - NOOOO!!!!!!  Cheap &(*%$&^ - LOL!!!Once a year, whether ... […]

Blog Categories

Old Posts