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Investment Alternatives

Categories: Interesting, Off Topic
By Ryan Knoll on August 2, 2007 @ 6:49 pm

I’ve written several times that investing your $150,000 nest-egg in the public markets and working a reasonably fun job is an underappreciated alternative to applying it towards a franchise. This article cites a study by Vanguard’s founder John Bogle regarding a 25-year study of a diversified portfolio return that on average has yielded 9.5% annual return.

What would you hope your franchise is worth in 10 years? Does $372,000 sound good for a selling price, on top of the wages you earn by holding a typical job? The $372k is the approximately growth of your $150,000 investment in the market compounded at 9.5% annually for 10 years.

A great article on the lowest cost (0.15%) diversified publicly traded investment portfolio in the world is here

http://etf.seekingalpha.com/article/42883

The decision to invest in and hire yourself to manage a franchise is a personal balancing test of many factors - lifestyle, family needs, risk tolerance, job satisfaction, financial goals, etc.  Satisfaction of an entrepreneurial itch is typically not met by franchise ownership because of the operating requirements and restrictions in the Franchise Agreement and Manual, which also constrains your income potential.  Most entrepreneurs want scheduling flexibility, tax advantages, no boss, net worth growth, ability to adapt business to maximize revenue, etc., which is minimal in single-unit franchising.

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Winner of Coffee Taste Test

By Ryan Knoll on January 31, 2007 @ 12:42 am

coffeeYou are not going to believe this…

Consumer Reports conducted a coffee taste test, and the winner was [drum roll please]….Cuppy’s Coffee!!!…..OK, I kid. The winner was McDonald’s, who beat Dunkin’ Donuts, Burger King and Starbucks (I’m sure Starbucks loves being lumped into that group).

McDonald’s coffee “beat the rest,” according to Consumer Reports. It was “decent and moderately strong. Although it lacked the subtle top notes needed to make it rise and shine, it had no flaws.”

I agree.  I like the new protruding sipper lids.

As for Starbucks, its coffee “was strong, but burnt and bitter enough to make your eyes water instead of open.”

I somewhat agree.

I’m a big fan of coffee (with cream please). But, a friend of mine ruined my coffee drinking experience with one statement. He said “coffee looks and tastes like muddy water”. Now, when I drink my daily coffee with cream, I look into the cup and damn it, it looks (and sorta tastes) like muddy water!

- - - -
On a different note, do you want to know what investment bankers and M&A/LBO guys think about when they look at franchisors? They often look at breakup value and leveraging assets (primarily real estate of their company-owned stores) on the balance sheet.

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Sorry for the Downtime in the Last Few Days

Categories: General, Off Topic
By Ryan Knoll on January 16, 2007 @ 2:57 pm

…there were a few problems with our web host, but everything is now up and running.

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Investing in Private Placement Offerings (Part 1)

By Ryan Knoll on October 13, 2006 @ 1:42 am

cashI’ve spent most of past year working full time for a private equity and asset management firm. I thought I knew a lot about the private investment world before I started (I’ve been part of several business that received venture capital funding), but what I learned has been a tremendous eye-opener, particularly in seeing the naivity of investors.

My job involves handling and fixing issues (legal, financial, complaints, compliance, etc) that involve hundreds of investors. I often speak to investors when they have concerns or complaints.

I have a lot to say on this topic because I slap my head almost daily at the mistakes, misconceptions, and wholly amateur approach investors make when deciding whether to invest in my company’s real estate related investments and funds. This will be a multi-part series of postings that will be equally relevant to those looking at investing in private placement offerings and those looking to be a franchisee. The no-bologne, no excuse due diligence an investor in a private partnership should go through before locking themselves into an investment is nearly the same a potential franchisee should go through before locking themselves into a franchise.

Venture capitalist often repeat that they do not invest in “ideas”, but rather they invest in the “people”. I always hear that them say they’d much rather have a “C” idea ran by an “A” team, than an “A” idea ran by a “C” team. Focusing on the “people”, the franchisors or general partners, is indeed key from what I’ve seen. How well do you really know the people and managers you’ll be investing with? Have you done a background check on the managers? Have you asked for audited financials this deal and other deals? If they aren’t audited by a reputable firm, walk away…don’t believe the “we didn’t feel it was worth the money” crap excuse. Have you asked for the underwriting documents? If the deal is a preferred return structure and the general partner has built in equity to pay you the full preferred return for a certain period of time, do you know what that time frame is? Are they going to borrow money to pay your distributions? If you don’t know what I’m talking about, you are a fool to invest in a private offering deal no matter what they promise or claim is their past success.

Many complaints stem from misaligned expectations. In my view, the overly positive expectations of investors are their own fault for not doing enough investigation and due diligence. I once watched Jim Cramer from CNBC’s Mad Money show say, “I’d never invest in non-regulated securities (private offerings) because I want the protection.” Cramer formerly offered private offerings through his hedge fund too, so it’s a lot for him to admit that.

What people (potential investors or franchisees) seem to loose is their skeptical prudent eye when they feel comfortable with the salemen. You do know that your salesman is being paid a commission based on he get you to invest, right? You know some firms pay 10% or more to their brokers, don’t you? Do you know where that 10% commission is paid from exactly…it will comes out of your investment even if it is not represented in your capital account as such, so the partnership has to recover your commission to get you back to whole. The salesmen usually only knows enough details about the project to talk about it superficially, so his virtual “guarantees” are baseless beyond his own impressions.  Get to know these facts and be comfortable with their implications, please.  And for crying out loud read the darn PPM (private placement memorandum) and operating agreement (LP or LLC agreement), and have your lawyer review it with you in detail. 

Often in the world of private offerings, you meet the salesmen (broker or finder) from your religious organization, through mutual friends, clubs or other referal. Does that mean you should take their word without your own “real” research? Of course not.

Private placement offerings are (supposed to be only) offered through registered NASD broker/dealers, and these registered representatives are a very regulated group with stiff penalties for saying or promising too much.  If the person hasn’t taken the NASD tests to be certified (usually a Series 7, Series 63, or Series 82) and a member of an NASD firm.  However, firms often bypass the registered rep requirement by paying a “finder’s fee” to the person who made the introduction of the investor.

I will write later about what “real” due diligence and research consists of for the investor/franchisee. Out of the hundreds of investors I’ve seen at my company, in my opinion not one individual person has done enough due diligence before writing that big (sometimes multi-million dollar) check.

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Best Man Toast

Categories: Off Topic
By Ryan Knoll on July 6, 2006 @ 10:29 pm

Maybe this will save you time if you are asked to give a best man toast in the future. I know I spent a lot of time trying to think of something to say, time that would have been better spent on business, frankly. toastI gave a best man toast in a wedding this weekend in Cincinnati. I liked the way it turned out, so here it is:

I’ve known Tom now for more than 10 years.
We first met at Miami University. We were both rushing the same fraternity.
At a fraternity party, Tom, being the gentleman that he is, offerered me a drink…I accepted…and we’ve been friends and brothers ever since.

The elements of Tom’s character that make his such a good friend to those of us at this table and in this room
are

  • his loyalty,
  • his honesty without exception - he cares enough about you to tell you the truth rather than what you want to here,
  • his quick wit, his charm, his fantastic sense of humor, his magnetic and engaging personality
  • and the list goes on……and on…

But most importantly…
the list goes on through the eyes of Ashley
who looks at Tom and sees
the man of her dreams…
the man who she wants to spend the rest of her life with.

I wish both of you a life together of health, wealth and bliss
that you both deserve.
Cheers.

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